Match context

The upcoming match between Deportivo Rincon and Juventud Unida Univ. is scheduled for 23.08.2026 18:00 in Torneo Federal A. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Deportivo Rincon are in position 22 with 19 points after 17 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 15 scored and 16 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLLLL. Juventud Unida Univ. are in position 31 with 17 points after 17 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 11 scored and 12 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLDDL.

Recent results

Deportivo Rincon recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDWWWLLLLW. The averages are 1 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. Juventud Unida Univ. recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLWLDLDDLD. The averages are 0.40 goals scored and 0.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Rincon recorded 2 wins, there were 1 draws, and Juventud Unida Univ. recorded 0 wins. The average total was 1.67 goals per match. Both teams scored in 33.3% of those matches, while 33.3% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 40%; Over 1.5 goals — 40%; Both teams to score — 30%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Deportivo Rincon or draw (1X) with 82% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 50.34%, 31.59% and 18.07%. The model momentum difference is 32.27 points in favour of Deportivo Rincon. The input data quality score is 85/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.16 with Betano. The stored estimated EV is -4.96%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Combo (BTTS Yes + Over 2.5) — Yes (odds 2.65, score 83/100, 83.33% bucket win rate across 6 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Deportivo Rincon at home is based on 3 matches. The team averages 1.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 11 of 20 completed matches (55.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Juventud Unida Univ. away from home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 2.60 yellow cards, 0.40 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 60.0%, 40.0%, 40.0% and 20.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 20.0%. Season card data is available for 9 of 20 completed matches (45.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Deportivo Rincon and Juventud Unida Univ. ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.67 goals, while this match produced 1. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes + Over 2.5 at odds of 2.65. The actual market outcome was BTTS No + Under 2.5. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 8 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.