Match context

The upcoming match between Fundacion Amigos and Sol de Mayo is scheduled for 23.08.2026 14:30 in Torneo Federal A. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Fundacion Amigos are in position 21 with 21 points after 17 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 9 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 18 scored and 14 conceded. The stored form sequence is DDWDD. Sol de Mayo are in position 28 with 18 points after 17 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 16 scored and 18 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLLWD.

Recent results

Fundacion Amigos recorded 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLWDDWDDD. The averages are 0.60 goals scored and 0.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals. Sol de Mayo recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLWDLLWDL. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 40%; Both teams to score — 30%; Over 1.5 goals — 30%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Fundacion Amigos or draw (1X) with 84% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 57.96%, 26.42% and 15.62%. The model momentum difference is 42.33 points in favour of Fundacion Amigos. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.10 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -7.19%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Fundacion Amigos -0.25 / Sol de Mayo +0.25 supports Fundacion Amigos by an average 4.09 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 2 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Fundacion Amigos at home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 1.83 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.83 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 66.7%, 16.7%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 13 of 19 completed matches (68.4% coverage). The discipline profile for Sol de Mayo away from home is based on 4 matches. The team averages 3.75 yellow cards, 1.00 red cards and 4.75 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 75.0%, 75.0%, 75.0% and 75.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 75.0%. Season card data is available for 12 of 20 completed matches (60.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Fundacion Amigos and Sol de Mayo ended 2-0. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Fundacion Amigos at home was based on 6 matches, with averages of 1.83 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.83 total cards per match. In this game, Fundacion Amigos received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 0.83 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 16.7% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Sol de Mayo away from home was based on 4 matches, with averages of 3.75 yellow cards, 1 red cards and 4.75 total cards per match. In this game, Sol de Mayo received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 2.75 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 75% of matches, 5+ in 75%, and a red card in 75%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Fundacion Amigos at -0.25. The stored market movement was 4.09 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Even. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.