Match context

The upcoming match between Guillermo Brown and Santamarina is scheduled for 23.08.2026 18:00 in Torneo Federal A. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Guillermo Brown are in position 34 with 17 points after 17 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 13 scored and 22 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWLL. Santamarina are in position 36 with 13 points after 17 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 9 scored and 18 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDLLD.

Recent results

Guillermo Brown recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLLWLWLLD. The averages are 0.50 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 10% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. Santamarina recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLLLDLLDW. The averages are 0.40 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 10% of those matches, while 10% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Guillermo Brown recorded 4 wins, there were 5 draws, and Santamarina recorded 1 wins. The average total was 2.70 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Under 2.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 1.5 goals — 50%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 30%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Guillermo Brown or draw (1X) with 80% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 51.19%, 28.90% and 19.91%. The model momentum difference is 31.28 points in favour of Guillermo Brown. The input data quality score is 95/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.12 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.30%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Guillermo Brown 0 / Santamarina 0 supports Guillermo Brown by an average 1.92 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 2 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Guillermo Brown at home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 1.60 yellow cards, 0.20 red cards and 1.80 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 40.0%, 20.0%, 20.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 20.0%. Season card data is available for 11 of 20 completed matches (55.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Santamarina away from home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 2.80 yellow cards, 0.20 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 80.0%, 80.0%, 40.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 20.0%. Season card data is available for 11 of 20 completed matches (55.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Guillermo Brown and Santamarina ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.7 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Guillermo Brown at home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 1.6 yellow cards, 0.2 red cards and 1.8 total cards per match. In this game, Guillermo Brown received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 1.8 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 20% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 20%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Santamarina away from home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 2.8 yellow cards, 0.2 red cards and 3 total cards per match. In this game, Santamarina received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 2 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 80% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 20%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Guillermo Brown at 0. The stored market movement was 1.92 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.