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🟢 FK Crvena Zvezda 🟡 Draws Hapoel Beer Sheva 🔴
Date Match Score
04.08.2026 Hapoel Beer Sheva - FK Crvena Zvezda 1 : 0

🗓 Latest Matches: FK Crvena Zvezda

Date Match Score Res
08.08.2026 FK Crvena Zvezda - Novi Pazar 2 - 0 W
04.08.2026 Hapoel Beer Sheva - FK Crvena Zvezda 1 - 0 L
01.08.2026 Radnik Surdulica - FK Crvena Zvezda -
29.07.2026 FK Crvena Zvezda - Larne 5 - 0 W
26.07.2026 FK Crvena Zvezda - Vojvodina 3 - 1 W

📆 Latest Matches: Hapoel Beer Sheva

Date Match Score Res
04.08.2026 Hapoel Beer Sheva - FK Crvena Zvezda 1 - 0 W
29.07.2026 Hapoel Beer Sheva - Vikingur Reykjavik 2 - 0 W
21.07.2026 Vikingur Reykjavik - Hapoel Beer Sheva 2 - 1 L
16.07.2026 Hapoel Beer Sheva - Maccabi Tel Aviv 1 - 3 L
07.07.2026 Legia Warszawa - Hapoel Beer Sheva 3 - 1 L

Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between FK Crvena Zvezda and Hapoel Beer Sheva is scheduled for 11.08.2026 18:00 in UEFA Champions League. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Recent results

FK Crvena Zvezda recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWWWWLDDL. The averages are 2.40 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Hapoel Beer Sheva recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLLLDWLLW. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 2.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, FK Crvena Zvezda recorded 0 wins, there were 0 draws, and Hapoel Beer Sheva recorded 1 wins. The average total was 1 goals per match. Both teams scored in 0% of those matches, while 0% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 3.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as FK Crvena Zvezda to win with 73% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 73.42%, 16.22% and 10.36%. The model momentum difference is 63.06 points in favour of FK Crvena Zvezda. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.27 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.75%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair FK Crvena Zvezda +0.25 / Hapoel Beer Sheva -0.25 supports FK Crvena Zvezda by an average 1.18 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 5 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 12, score 78/100, 77.57% group success rate across 1195 observations).

Generated: 2026-08-10 20:00:05 · Locked: 2026-08-11 19:40:03

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between FK Crvena Zvezda and Hapoel Beer Sheva ended 0-2. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported FK Crvena Zvezda at +0.25. The stored market movement was 1.18 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 0-2, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 12. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-08-11 21:58:02
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