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🔁 Head-to-Head

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🟢 Wallern / Marienkirchen 🟡 Draws Ried 🔴
Date Match Score
12.01.2024 Wallern / Marienkirchen - Ried 0 : 1

🗓 Latest Matches: Wallern / Marienkirchen

Date Match Score Res
28.08.2026 Seekirchen - Wallern / Marienkirchen 3 - 0 L
21.08.2026 Wallern / Marienkirchen - TSV St. Johann 4 - 0 W
14.08.2026 Wallern / Marienkirchen - Wohnbau Dietach 6 - 0 W
11.08.2026 Pinzgau Saalfelden - Wallern / Marienkirchen 1 - 4 W
07.08.2026 Kuchl - Wallern / Marienkirchen 2 - 2 D

📆 Latest Matches: Ried

Date Match Score Res
30.08.2026 TSV Hartberg - Ried 3 - 2 L
21.08.2026 Ried - Grazer AK 1 - 0 W
14.08.2026 Lask Linz - Ried 4 - 1 L
09.08.2026 Ried - Rapid Vienna 1 - 2 L
02.08.2026 Austria Lustenau - Ried 1 - 1 D

Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between Wallern / Marienkirchen and Ried is scheduled for 04.09.2026 17:00 in Cup. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Recent results

Wallern / Marienkirchen recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWWDWWWLL. The averages are 2.50 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals. Ried recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLLDWLWDL. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, Wallern / Marienkirchen recorded 0 wins, there were 0 draws, and Ried recorded 1 wins. The average total was 1 goals per match. Both teams scored in 0% of those matches, while 0% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 100%; Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Ried to win with 77% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 8.43%, 14.27% and 77.30%. The model momentum difference is 68.86 points in favour of Ried. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.20 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -7.24%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Wallern / Marienkirchen +0.25 / Ried -0.25 supports Ried by an average 3.58 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (Bet365) with up to 2 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 29, score 83/100, 83.15% group success rate across 457 observations).

Generated: 2026-09-04 14:00:05 · Locked: 2026-09-04 18:40:06

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between Wallern / Marienkirchen and Ried ended 1-5. The game produced 6 goals in total. The first half contained 4 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Wallern / Marienkirchen at +0.25. The stored market movement was 3.58 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 1-5, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 29. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-09-04 20:57:04
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