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🔁 Head-to-Head

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🟢 Warriors 🟡 Draws Eastern District 🔴
Date Match Score
03.04.2026 Eastern District - Warriors 0 : 0
18.10.2025 Warriors - Eastern District 1 : 0

🗓 Latest Matches: Warriors

Date Match Score Res
06.09.2026 Hong Kong FC - Warriors 0 - 3 W
28.08.2026 Warriors - Shatin 0 - 0 D
23.08.2026 Warriors - Kowloon City 3 - 0 W
17.05.2026 Warriors - Wofoo Tai Po 2 - 3 L
10.05.2026 North District - Warriors 2 - 4 W

📆 Latest Matches: Eastern District

Date Match Score Res
06.09.2026 Kitchee - Eastern District 4 - 1 L
30.08.2026 BC Rangers - Eastern District 1 - 3 W
30.05.2026 Wofoo Tai Po - Eastern District 2 - 1 L
24.05.2026 Eastern District - North District 2 - 2 D
16.05.2026 Eastern District - BC Rangers 1 - 1 D

Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between Warriors and Eastern District is scheduled for 11.09.2026 12:00 in Premier League. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Warriors are in position 2 with 0 points after 3 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 9 scored and 0 conceded. Eastern District are in position 7 with 0 points after 2 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 4 scored and 5 conceded.

Recent results

Warriors recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLWLWDWDD. The averages are 2.10 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Eastern District recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLDDDLLLD. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 90% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 2 head-to-head matches, Warriors recorded 1 wins, there were 1 draws, and Eastern District recorded 0 wins. The average total was 0.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 0% of those matches, while 0% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 70%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Warriors to win with 72% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 71.72%, 17.08% and 11.21%. The model momentum difference is 60.51 points in favour of Warriors. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.25 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.35%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.70). At least one goal in the match (quota 20, score 86/100, 86.29% group success rate across 197 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Warriors at home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 2 of 2 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Eastern District away from home is based on 2 matches. The team averages 4.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 4.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 100.0%, 100.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 2 of 2 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

Generated: 2026-09-10 14:02:30 · Locked: 2026-09-11 13:40:10

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between Warriors and Eastern District ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Warriors at home was based on 1 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, Warriors received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 1 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Eastern District away from home was based on 2 matches, with averages of 4 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 4 total cards per match. In this game, Eastern District received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 1 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 100% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.7. The actual market outcome was BTTS Yes. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 20. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-09-11 16:22:15
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