Match context

The upcoming match between CS Hammam-Lif and ES Tunis is scheduled for 13.09.2026 15:00 in Ligue 1. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
CS Hammam-Lif are in position 16 with 0 points after 2 matches. The season record is 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 0 scored and 2 conceded. The stored form sequence is LL. ES Tunis are in position 4 with 6 points after 3 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 6 scored and 6 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLW.

Recent results

CS Hammam-Lif recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWWDDWWWL. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 0.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. ES Tunis recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWWWWWWLW. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, CS Hammam-Lif recorded 1 wins, there were 2 draws, and ES Tunis recorded 7 wins. The average total was 1.80 goals per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 1.5 goals — 50%; Both teams to score — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as ES Tunis to win with 62% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 12.81%, 24.91% and 62.28%. The model momentum difference is 49.47 points in favour of ES Tunis. The input data quality score is 93/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.44 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.32%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair CS Hammam-Lif 0 / ES Tunis 0 supports ES Tunis by an average 1.55 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Combo (BTTS Yes + Over 2.5) — Yes (odds 2.65, score 83/100, 83.33% bucket win rate across 6 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for CS Hammam-Lif at home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 1.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 2 of 2 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for ES Tunis away from home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 1.00 yellow cards, 1.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 3 of 3 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between CS Hammam-Lif and ES Tunis ended 0-1. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.8 goals, while this match produced 1. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for CS Hammam-Lif at home was based on 1 matches, with averages of 1 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1 total cards per match. In this game, CS Hammam-Lif received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 1 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for ES Tunis away from home was based on 1 matches, with averages of 1 yellow cards, 1 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, ES Tunis received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 1 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 100%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported ES Tunis at 0. The stored market movement was 1.55 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 0-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes + Over 2.5 at odds of 2.65. The actual market outcome was BTTS No + Under 2.5. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 8 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.