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🔁 Head-to-Head

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🟢 SD Raiders 🟡 Draws Macarthur 🔴
Date Match Score
29.07.2025 SD Raiders - Macarthur 0 : 5

🗓 Latest Matches: SD Raiders

Date Match Score Res
08.08.2026 SD Raiders - Western Sydney W. II 3 - 0 W
01.08.2026 St. George Saints - SD Raiders 2 - 3 W
25.07.2026 SD Raiders - Marconi Stallions 2 - 1 W
18.07.2026 Wollongong Wolves - SD Raiders 2 - 3 W
14.07.2026 Rochedale Rovers - SD Raiders 1 - 2 W

📆 Latest Matches: Macarthur

Date Match Score Res
22.07.2026 Uni Azzurri - Macarthur 0 - 3 W
24.04.2026 Macarthur - Wellington Phoenix 4 - 0 W
19.04.2026 Adelaide United - Macarthur 3 - 1 L
12.04.2026 Perth Glory - Macarthur 3 - 1 L
02.04.2026 Macarthur - Newcastle Jets 3 - 2 W

Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between SD Raiders and Macarthur is scheduled for 11.08.2026 09:30 in Australia Cup. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Recent results

SD Raiders recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWWLLLWL. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Macarthur recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLLWWLLLL. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 2.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, SD Raiders recorded 0 wins, there were 0 draws, and Macarthur recorded 1 wins. The average total was 5 goals per match. Both teams scored in 0% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 2.5 goals — 100%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Both teams to score — 80%; Over 3.5 goals — 70%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as draw or Macarthur (X2) with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 18.88%, 21.35% and 59.78%. The model momentum difference is 40.90 points in favour of Macarthur. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.12 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -9.14%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair SD Raiders 0 / Macarthur 0 supports SD Raiders by an average 2.89 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 17, score 82/100, 81.59% group success rate across 1820 observations).

Generated: 2026-08-10 11:30:03 · Locked: 2026-08-11 11:10:02

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between SD Raiders and Macarthur ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported SD Raiders at 0. The stored market movement was 2.89 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-1, the line settled as a push. The result is neutral and is counted as neither confirmed nor unconfirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 17. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed, while 1 settled neutrally. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-08-11 14:18:02
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