Match context

The upcoming match between UNSAAC W and Alianza Lima W is scheduled for 16.08.2026 20:15 in Liga Women. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
UNSAAC W are in position 9 with 6 points after 13 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 9 scored and 29 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDLLL. Alianza Lima W are in position 4 with 20 points after 16 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 46 scored and 11 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWLDL.

Recent results

UNSAAC W recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses across the last 8 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLLLDLD. The averages are 0.63 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Alianza Lima W recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWLWWDWDD. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 0.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, UNSAAC W recorded 0 wins, there were 0 draws, and Alianza Lima W recorded 1 wins. The average total was 8 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Alianza Lima W to win with 89% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 4.09%, 7.23% and 88.68%. The model momentum difference is 84.59 points in favour of Alianza Lima W. The input data quality score is 99/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.06 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.00%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

What happened in the match

The match between UNSAAC W and Alianza Lima W ended 0-2. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 100%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.