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W W W L W
3
🏟 Stadio Mario Rigamonti , Brescia
✔ Full Time
2
3
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0

🔁 Head-to-Head

1
0
1
🟢 Union Brescia 🟡 Draws Arzignano Valchiampo 🔴
Date Match Score
04.01.2026 Arzignano Valchiampo - Union Brescia 1 : 2
23.08.2025 Union Brescia - Arzignano Valchiampo 1 : 2

🗓 Latest Matches: Union Brescia

Date Match Score Res
06.11.2026 Union Brescia - Arzignano Valchiampo 3 - 2 W
01.11.2026 Folgore Caratese - Union Brescia 0 - 4 W
28.10.2026 Union Brescia - Cittadella 1 - 2 L
24.10.2026 Union Brescia - Cittadella 2 - 1 W
19.10.2026 Giana Erminio - Union Brescia 2 - 1 L

📆 Latest Matches: Arzignano Valchiampo

Date Match Score Res
06.11.2026 Union Brescia - Arzignano Valchiampo 3 - 2 L
01.11.2026 Lumezzane - Arzignano Valchiampo 1 - 1 D
25.10.2026 Arzignano Valchiampo - Novara 2 - 0 W
19.10.2026 Cittadella - Arzignano Valchiampo 1 - 0 L
10.10.2026 Arzignano Valchiampo - Juventus U23 2 - 1 W

Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between Union Brescia and Arzignano Valchiampo is scheduled for 06.11.2026 19:30 in Serie C - Girone A. The listed venue is Stadio Mario Rigamonti, Brescia. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Union Brescia are in position 2 with 25 points after 12 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 23 scored and 9 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLWD. Arzignano Valchiampo are in position 4 with 21 points after 12 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 17 scored and 12 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWLWD.

Recent results

Union Brescia recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWLWDDWDD. The averages are 1.90 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Arzignano Valchiampo recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWLWDWWWLL. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 2 head-to-head matches, Union Brescia recorded 1 wins, there were 0 draws, and Arzignano Valchiampo recorded 1 wins. The average total was 3 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Union Brescia to win with 61% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 60.93%, 24.05% and 15.03%. The model momentum difference is 45.90 points in favour of Union Brescia. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.48 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -9.83%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Union Brescia -0.25 / Arzignano Valchiampo +0.25 supports Union Brescia by an average 1.23 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Under 2.5 (odds 1.90).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Union Brescia at home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 66.7%, 33.3%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 12 of 12 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Arzignano Valchiampo away from home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 1.50 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.50 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 33.3%, 16.7%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 12 of 12 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

Generated: 2026-11-06 14:00:07 · Locked: 2026-11-06 20:10:57

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between Union Brescia and Arzignano Valchiampo ended 3-2. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Union Brescia at home was based on 6 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, Union Brescia received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 1 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 33.3% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Arzignano Valchiampo away from home was based on 6 matches, with averages of 1.5 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.5 total cards per match. In this game, Arzignano Valchiampo received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 0.5 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 16.7% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Union Brescia at -0.25. The stored market movement was 1.23 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-2, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Under 2.5 at odds of 1.9. The actual market outcome was Over 2.5. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-11-06 22:51:52
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