Match context

The upcoming match between Trujillanos FC and Deportivo Tachira FC is scheduled for 09.08.2026 20:00 in Primera División. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Trujillanos FC are in position 14 with 4 points after 15 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 11 scored and 28 conceded. Deportivo Tachira FC are in position 2 with 11 points after 20 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 26 scored and 17 conceded.

Recent results

Trujillanos FC recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWDLLLLLLD. The averages are 0.50 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. Deportivo Tachira FC recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWDWDWLWWD. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 0.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Trujillanos FC recorded 1 wins, there were 1 draws, and Deportivo Tachira FC recorded 8 wins. The average total was 2.80 goals per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Under 2.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 1.5 goals — 50%; Both teams to score — 30%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as draw or Deportivo Tachira FC (X2) with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 18.93%, 27.24% and 53.83%. The model momentum difference is 34.91 points in favour of Deportivo Tachira FC. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.17 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.14%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Trujillanos FC 0 / Deportivo Tachira FC 0 supports Trujillanos FC by an average 3.30 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 4 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

What happened in the match

The match between Trujillanos FC and Deportivo Tachira FC ended 1-3. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.8 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Trujillanos FC at 0. The stored market movement was 3.3 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-3, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 6 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.