Match context

The upcoming match between Universitario de Vinto and Real Tomayapo is scheduled for 14.08.2026 19:00 in Primera División. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Universitario de Vinto are in position 15 with 11 points after 13 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 17 scored and 25 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLDLL. Real Tomayapo are in position 16 with 9 points after 13 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 9 scored and 29 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLDLL.

Recent results

Universitario de Vinto recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLDLLLLWWD. The averages are 1 goals scored and 2.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Real Tomayapo recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLDLLWLLWL. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Universitario de Vinto recorded 5 wins, there were 3 draws, and Real Tomayapo recorded 2 wins. The average total was 1.90 goals per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 11; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Universitario de Vinto to win with 60% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 60.40%, 22.00% and 17.60%. The model momentum difference is 42.80 points in favour of Universitario de Vinto. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.53 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -7.59%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Universitario de Vinto 0 / Real Tomayapo 0 supports Universitario de Vinto by an average 4.45 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 6 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 19, score 82/100, 81.73% group success rate across 1308 observations). Corners Over Under — Over 8.5 (odds 1.24, score 90/100, 90.48% bucket win rate across 21 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Universitario de Vinto at home is based on 2 matches. The team averages 4.50 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 4.50 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 100.0%, 100.0% and 50.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 7 of 14 completed matches (50.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Real Tomayapo away from home is based on 3 matches. The team averages 1.33 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.33 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 33.3%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 5 of 14 completed matches (35.7% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Universitario de Vinto and Real Tomayapo ended 0-1. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.9 goals, while this match produced 1. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Universitario de Vinto at 0. The stored market movement was 4.45 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 0-1, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 19. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 11 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.