Match context

The upcoming match between Nacional Potosí and ABB is scheduled for 16.08.2026 21:15 in Primera División. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Nacional Potosí are in position 13 with 15 points after 13 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 19 scored and 19 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLWL. ABB are in position 12 with 16 points after 13 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 28 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWDLL.

Recent results

Nacional Potosí recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLWLDWLDL. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. ABB recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWDLLWLLWL. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 90% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nacional Potosí recorded 3 wins, there were 1 draws, and ABB recorded 0 wins. The average total was 4 goals per match. Both teams scored in 75% of those matches, while 75% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Both teams to score — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 7.06; over 7.5 corners — 94%; over 8.5 corners — 83%; over 9.5 corners — 74%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Nacional Potosí or draw (1X) with 80% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 58.21%, 22.18% and 19.61%. The model momentum difference is 38.61 points in favour of Nacional Potosí. The input data quality score is 99/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.18 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.14%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Nacional Potosí -0.25 / ABB +0.25 supports ABB by an average 9.44 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 12 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 21, score 85/100, 84.88% group success rate across 992 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Nacional Potosí at home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 2.20 yellow cards, 0.40 red cards and 2.60 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 60.0%, 60.0%, 20.0% and 20.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 40.0%. Season card data is available for 11 of 14 completed matches (78.6% coverage). The discipline profile for ABB away from home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.50 red cards and 2.50 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 50.0%, 50.0%, 33.3% and 16.7% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 33.3%. Season card data is available for 11 of 14 completed matches (78.6% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Nacional Potosí and ABB ended 2-0. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 4 goals, while this match produced 2. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 4 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 4 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Nacional Potosí at home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 2.2 yellow cards, 0.4 red cards and 2.6 total cards per match. In this game, Nacional Potosí received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 2.6 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 60% of matches, 5+ in 20%, and a red card in 40%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for ABB away from home was based on 6 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0.5 red cards and 2.5 total cards per match. In this game, ABB received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.5 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 16.7%, and a red card in 33.3%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported ABB at +0.25. The stored market movement was 9.44 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-0, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 21. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 6 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.