Match context

The upcoming match between Nacional Potosí and Independiente Petrolero is scheduled for 22.08.2026 23:30 in Primera División. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Nacional Potosí are in position 13 with 15 points after 13 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 19 scored and 19 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLWL. Independiente Petrolero are in position 8 with 19 points after 13 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 19 scored and 20 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDWLL.

Recent results

Nacional Potosí recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLLWLDWLD. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Independiente Petrolero recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWDWLLLLL. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Nacional Potosí recorded 7 wins, there were 2 draws, and Independiente Petrolero recorded 1 wins. The average total was 4 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 8.18; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 96%; over 9.5 corners — 86%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Nacional Potosí or draw (1X) with 82% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 58.31%, 23.92% and 17.77%. The model momentum difference is 40.54 points in favour of Nacional Potosí. The input data quality score is 90/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.17 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -3.79%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Nacional Potosí 0 / Independiente Petrolero 0 supports Independiente Petrolero by an average 2.41 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 8 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Nacional Potosí at home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 1.83 yellow cards, 0.33 red cards and 2.17 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 83.3%, 50.0%, 50.0%, 16.7% and 16.7% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 33.3%. Season card data is available for 12 of 15 completed matches (80.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Independiente Petrolero away from home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 3.83 yellow cards, 0.83 red cards and 4.67 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 100.0%, 50.0% and 50.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 66.7%. Season card data is available for 12 of 15 completed matches (80.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Nacional Potosí and Independiente Petrolero ended 3-0. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 4 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Nacional Potosí at home was based on 6 matches, with averages of 1.83 yellow cards, 0.33 red cards and 2.17 total cards per match. In this game, Nacional Potosí received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.17 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 16.7%, and a red card in 33.3%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Independiente Petrolero away from home was based on 6 matches, with averages of 3.83 yellow cards, 0.83 red cards and 4.67 total cards per match. In this game, Independiente Petrolero received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 3.67 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 100% of matches, 5+ in 50%, and a red card in 66.7%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Independiente Petrolero at 0. The stored market movement was 2.41 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-0, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.