Match context

The upcoming match between Real Oruro and Bolívar is scheduled for 23.08.2026 19:00 in Primera División. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Real Oruro are in position 11 with 17 points after 13 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 23 scored and 34 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLLLW. Bolívar are in position 2 with 27 points after 13 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 28 scored and 13 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLWW.

Recent results

Real Oruro recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWLLLWLWW. The averages are 1.90 goals scored and 2.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals. Bolívar recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWDWWLWWWW. The averages are 2.20 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 3 head-to-head matches, Real Oruro recorded 1 wins, there were 0 draws, and Bolívar recorded 2 wins. The average total was 5 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Both teams to score — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 8.53; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 90%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Bolívar to win with 66% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 14.89%, 18.62% and 66.49%. The model momentum difference is 51.60 points in favour of Bolívar. The input data quality score is 99/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.40 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.91%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Real Oruro 0 / Bolívar 0 supports Bolívar by an average 3.22 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 7 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 23, score 80/100, 79.94% group success rate across 633 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Real Oruro at home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 2.33 yellow cards, 0.67 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 83.3%, 66.7%, 33.3% and 16.7% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 50.0%. Season card data is available for 13 of 15 completed matches (86.7% coverage). The discipline profile for Bolívar away from home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 2.83 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.83 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 50.0%, 16.7% and 16.7% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 13 of 15 completed matches (86.7% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Real Oruro and Bolívar ended 2-4. The game produced 6 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 5 goals, while this match produced 6. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 100%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 100%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Real Oruro at home was based on 6 matches, with averages of 2.33 yellow cards, 0.67 red cards and 3 total cards per match. In this game, Real Oruro received 4 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 4 in total. That was 1 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 66.7% of matches, 5+ in 16.7%, and a red card in 50%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Bolívar away from home was based on 6 matches, with averages of 2.83 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.83 total cards per match. In this game, Bolívar received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.83 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 16.7%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Bolívar at 0. The stored market movement was 3.22 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-4, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 23. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 10 aligned with the final result and 0 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.