Match context

The upcoming match between Bolívar and ABB is scheduled for 28.08.2026 00:30 in Primera División. The listed venue is Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Bolívar are in position 2 with 27 points after 13 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 28 scored and 13 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLWW. ABB are in position 12 with 16 points after 13 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 28 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWDLL.

Recent results

Bolívar recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWDWWLWWW. The averages are 2.20 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. ABB recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLLLWDLLWL. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bolívar recorded 3 wins, there were 0 draws, and ABB recorded 0 wins. The average total was 3.33 goals per match. Both teams scored in 33.3% of those matches, while 66.7% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Both teams to score — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 3.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Bolívar to win with 87% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 87.09%, 8.47% and 4.44%. The model momentum difference is 82.65 points in favour of Bolívar. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.07 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.81%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Bolívar 0 / ABB 0 supports Bolívar by an average 1.89 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 2 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Bolívar at home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 1.57 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.57 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 71.4%, 57.1%, 14.3%, 14.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 14 of 16 completed matches (87.5% coverage). The discipline profile for ABB away from home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 1.86 yellow cards, 0.43 red cards and 2.29 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 42.9%, 42.9%, 28.6% and 14.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 28.6%. Season card data is available for 13 of 16 completed matches (81.3% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Bolívar and ABB ended 4-1. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.33 goals, while this match produced 5. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Bolívar at 0. The stored market movement was 1.89 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 4-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.