Match context

The upcoming match between The Strongest and Real Tomayapo is scheduled for 06.09.2026 22:00 in Primera División. The listed venue is Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
The Strongest are in position 3 with 33 points after 13 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 6 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 20 scored and 12 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLLW. Real Tomayapo are in position 14 with 16 points after 13 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 9 scored and 29 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDWLL.

Recent results

The Strongest recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWWLLWDDD. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Real Tomayapo recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWDWLLDLL. The averages are 1 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, The Strongest recorded 4 wins, there were 3 draws, and Real Tomayapo recorded 3 wins. The average total was 2.70 goals per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 8.80; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 93%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as The Strongest to win with 75% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 75.15%, 14.67% and 10.19%. The model momentum difference is 64.96 points in favour of The Strongest. The input data quality score is 95/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.22 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -8.32%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 21, score 84/100, 84.32% group success rate across 1148 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for The Strongest at home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 2.29 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 2.43 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 71.4%, 28.6%, 28.6% and 14.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 14.3%. Season card data is available for 15 of 17 completed matches (88.2% coverage). The discipline profile for Real Tomayapo away from home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 1.71 yellow cards, 0.43 red cards and 2.14 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 57.1%, 14.3%, 14.3% and 14.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 14.3%. Season card data is available for 12 of 17 completed matches (70.6% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between The Strongest and Real Tomayapo ended 3-1. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 11 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.7 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 8.8 total corners. The match recorded 11 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 8.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 93%. The actual outcome was Over 9.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for The Strongest at home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 2.29 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 2.43 total cards per match. In this game, The Strongest received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.43 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 28.6% of matches, 5+ in 14.3%, and a red card in 14.3%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Real Tomayapo away from home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 1.71 yellow cards, 0.43 red cards and 2.14 total cards per match. In this game, Real Tomayapo received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.86 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 14.3% of matches, 5+ in 14.3%, and a red card in 14.3%.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 21. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 14 verifiable pre-match indicators, 8 aligned with the final result and 6 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.