Match context

The upcoming match between Nacional Potosí and Blooming is scheduled for 07.09.2026 00:00 in Primera División. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Nacional Potosí are in position 10 with 21 points after 13 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 19 scored and 19 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWWLL. Blooming are in position 9 with 23 points after 13 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 17 scored and 14 conceded. The stored form sequence is DDWLD.

Recent results

Nacional Potosí recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWWLLLWLD. The averages are 1.90 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Blooming recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDDLWLDLDW. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Nacional Potosí recorded 2 wins, there were 3 draws, and Blooming recorded 5 wins. The average total was 3.10 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Nacional Potosí to win with 61% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 60.69%, 22.76% and 16.55%. The model momentum difference is 44.14 points in favour of Nacional Potosí. The input data quality score is 94/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.50 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -8.97%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Nacional Potosí -0.5 / Blooming +0.5 supports Nacional Potosí by an average 1.76 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (Bet365) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 15, score 80/100, 79.75% group success rate across 3007 observations). Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Nacional Potosí at home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 1.71 yellow cards, 0.29 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 85.7%, 42.9%, 42.9%, 14.3% and 14.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 28.6%. Season card data is available for 14 of 17 completed matches (82.4% coverage). The discipline profile for Blooming away from home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 2.57 yellow cards, 0.43 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 85.7%, 42.9%, 42.9% and 14.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 14.3%. Season card data is available for 14 of 16 completed matches (87.5% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Nacional Potosí and Blooming ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.1 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Nacional Potosí at home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 1.71 yellow cards, 0.29 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, Nacional Potosí received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 1 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 42.9% of matches, 5+ in 14.3%, and a red card in 28.6%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Blooming away from home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 2.57 yellow cards, 0.43 red cards and 3 total cards per match. In this game, Blooming received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 1 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 42.9% of matches, 5+ in 14.3%, and a red card in 14.3%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Nacional Potosí at -0.5. The stored market movement was 1.76 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 2-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 15. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Odd. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 12 verifiable pre-match indicators, 11 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.