Match context

The upcoming match between Universitario de Vinto and Independiente Petrolero is scheduled for 13.09.2026 21:15 in Primera División. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Universitario de Vinto are in position 16 with 14 points after 18 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 2 draws and 12 losses. The goals record is 22 scored and 37 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLLL. Independiente Petrolero are in position 10 with 25 points after 18 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 25 scored and 29 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLWW.

Recent results

Universitario de Vinto recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLDWLLLLLD. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Independiente Petrolero recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLLWLWWWDW. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Universitario de Vinto recorded 4 wins, there were 1 draws, and Independiente Petrolero recorded 5 wins. The average total was 2.80 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 100%; Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 12.10; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Universitario de Vinto 0 / Independiente Petrolero 0 supports Independiente Petrolero by an average 1.17 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 5 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Universitario de Vinto at home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.50 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.50 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 62.5%, 50.0%, 25.0% and 12.5% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 16 of 18 completed matches (88.9% coverage). The discipline profile for Independiente Petrolero away from home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 3.43 yellow cards, 0.71 red cards and 4.14 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 85.7%, 85.7%, 42.9% and 42.9% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 57.1%. Season card data is available for 16 of 18 completed matches (88.9% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Universitario de Vinto and Independiente Petrolero ended 3-1. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.8 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Universitario de Vinto at home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 2.5 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.5 total cards per match. In this game, Universitario de Vinto received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.5 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 12.5%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Independiente Petrolero away from home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 3.43 yellow cards, 0.71 red cards and 4.14 total cards per match. In this game, Independiente Petrolero received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 1.14 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 85.7% of matches, 5+ in 42.9%, and a red card in 57.1%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Universitario de Vinto at 0. The stored market movement was 1.17 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.