Match context

The upcoming match between Universitario de Vinto and San Antonio Bulo Bulo is scheduled for 17.10.2026 21:15 in Primera División. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Universitario de Vinto are in position 15 with 18 points after 21 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 3 draws and 13 losses. The goals record is 27 scored and 42 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDWLW. San Antonio Bulo Bulo are in position 12 with 21 points after 21 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 3 draws and 12 losses. The goals record is 21 scored and 40 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWLLL.

Recent results

Universitario de Vinto recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLWWLDWLL. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 2.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. San Antonio Bulo Bulo recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLLDWLWLWL. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Universitario de Vinto recorded 3 wins, there were 2 draws, and San Antonio Bulo Bulo recorded 5 wins. The average total was 2.60 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 11.60; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Universitario de Vinto or draw (1X) with 80% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 56.82%, 23.44% and 19.74%. The model momentum difference is 37.08 points in favour of Universitario de Vinto. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.17 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.09%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Universitario de Vinto -0.5 / San Antonio Bulo Bulo +0.5 supports San Antonio Bulo Bulo by an average 1.50 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (Bet365) with up to 6 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Universitario de Vinto at home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 2.80 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.80 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 70.0%, 60.0%, 30.0% and 20.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 19 of 21 completed matches (90.5% coverage). The discipline profile for San Antonio Bulo Bulo away from home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 2.11 yellow cards, 0.22 red cards and 2.33 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 88.9%, 55.6%, 44.4%, 33.3% and 11.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 22.2%. Season card data is available for 19 of 21 completed matches (90.5% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Universitario de Vinto and San Antonio Bulo Bulo ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 4 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.6 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 11.6 total corners. The match recorded 4 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 7.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 8.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 9.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Universitario de Vinto at home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 2.8 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.8 total cards per match. In this game, Universitario de Vinto received 4 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 5 in total. That was 2.2 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 60% of matches, 5+ in 20%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for San Antonio Bulo Bulo away from home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 2.11 yellow cards, 0.22 red cards and 2.33 total cards per match. In this game, San Antonio Bulo Bulo received 1 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.33 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 44.4% of matches, 5+ in 11.1%, and a red card in 22.2%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported San Antonio Bulo Bulo at +0.5. The stored market movement was 1.5 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 2-1, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 11 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 6 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.