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4
🏟 Stadio Ciro Vigorito , Benevento
✔ Full Time
1
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Ball possession
57%
43%
0
Expected goals (xG)
0
5
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
4
2
Shots off target
3
1
Corner kicks
2
0
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
1
Offsides
1
2
Shots inside the box
7
3
Shots outside the box
1
1
Blocked shots
1
2
Goalkeeper saves
2
3
Fouls
5
93%
Pass accuracy
91%
238
Accurate passes
176
257
Total passes
193
0
Goals prevented
0

🔁 Head-to-Head

1
0
4
🟢 Benevento 🟡 Draws Fiorentina 🔴
Date Match Score
15.12.2021 Fiorentina - Benevento 2 : 1
13.03.2021 Benevento - Fiorentina 1 : 4
22.11.2020 Fiorentina - Benevento 0 : 1
11.03.2018 Fiorentina - Benevento 1 : 0
22.10.2017 Benevento - Fiorentina 0 : 3

🗓 Latest Matches: Benevento

Date Match Score Res
14.08.2026 Benevento - Fiorentina 4 - 1 W
09.08.2026 Benevento - Ravenna 5 - 3 W
01.08.2026 Frosinone - Benevento 2 - 2 D
31.07.2026 Vis Pesaro - Benevento 1 - 2 W
26.07.2026 Ostia Mare - Benevento 0 - 2 W

📆 Latest Matches: Fiorentina

Date Match Score Res
14.08.2026 Benevento - Fiorentina 4 - 1 L
08.08.2026 Modena - Fiorentina -
06.08.2026 Fiorentina - Deportivo La Coruna 1 - 1 D
01.08.2026 Real Madrid - Fiorentina 2 - 2 D
29.07.2026 Watford - Fiorentina 0 - 1 W

Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between Benevento and Fiorentina is scheduled for 14.08.2026 19:15 in Coppa Italia. The listed venue is Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Recent results

Benevento recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDWWWWDDLW. The averages are 2 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Fiorentina recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDWLWWDWDL. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benevento recorded 1 wins, there were 0 draws, and Fiorentina recorded 4 wins. The average total was 2.60 goals per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Benevento to win with 75% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 74.95%, 17.84% and 7.21%. The model momentum difference is 67.74 points in favour of Benevento. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.25 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.31%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

A current confirmed reversal signal is stored for Home -1.75. It is a market indicator rather than a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.22, score 77/100, 77.12% bucket win rate across 354 observations).

Generated: 2026-08-14 19:02:08 · Locked: 2026-08-14 20:55:04

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between Benevento and Fiorentina ended 4-1. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.6 goals, while this match produced 5. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Benevento at -1.75. At the final score of 4-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.22. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 8 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-08-14 23:17:03
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