Match context

The upcoming match between Puerto Cabello and Rayo Zuliano is scheduled for 15.08.2026 23:30 in Primera División. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Puerto Cabello are in position 3 with 6 points after 22 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 29 scored and 26 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWL. Rayo Zuliano are in position 7 with 3 points after 15 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 14 scored and 26 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLL.

Recent results

Puerto Cabello recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLLWLWDLW. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Rayo Zuliano recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLDLLLWDL. The averages are 0.80 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 7 head-to-head matches, Puerto Cabello recorded 3 wins, there were 1 draws, and Rayo Zuliano recorded 3 wins. The average total was 2.43 goals per match. Both teams scored in 42.9% of those matches, while 57.1% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 8.01; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 94%; over 9.5 corners — 84%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Puerto Cabello to win with 71% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 71.11%, 17.78% and 11.11%. The model momentum difference is 60.00 points in favour of Puerto Cabello. The input data quality score is 84/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.25 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -11.11%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Puerto Cabello +0.5 / Rayo Zuliano -0.5 supports Rayo Zuliano by an average 1.67 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (Bet365) with up to 2 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Puerto Cabello at home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 3.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 60.0%, 20.0% and 20.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 16 of 17 completed matches (94.1% coverage). The discipline profile for Rayo Zuliano away from home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 3.20 yellow cards, 0.20 red cards and 3.40 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 80.0%, 60.0%, 60.0% and 40.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 20.0%. Season card data is available for 13 of 14 completed matches (92.9% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Puerto Cabello and Rayo Zuliano ended 2-0. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 7 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.43 goals, while this match produced 2. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 7 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 57.1%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 7 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 57.1%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Puerto Cabello at home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 3 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 3 total cards per match. In this game, Puerto Cabello received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. The total was effectively equal to the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 60% of matches, 5+ in 20%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Rayo Zuliano away from home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 3.2 yellow cards, 0.2 red cards and 3.4 total cards per match. In this game, Rayo Zuliano received 4 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 5 in total. That was 1.6 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 60% of matches, 5+ in 40%, and a red card in 20%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Rayo Zuliano at -0.5. The stored market movement was 1.67 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 2-0, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.