Match context

The upcoming match between Deportivo Tachira FC and Monagas SC is scheduled for 16.08.2026 21:00 in Primera División. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Deportivo Tachira FC are in position 1 with 9 points after 20 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 26 scored and 17 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWW. Monagas SC are in position 9 with 3 points after 15 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 16 scored and 26 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLL.

Recent results

Deportivo Tachira FC recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWDWDWLWW. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 0.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Monagas SC recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLWDLWLDL. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Tachira FC recorded 6 wins, there were 1 draws, and Monagas SC recorded 3 wins. The average total was 2.30 goals per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 7.74; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 91%; over 9.5 corners — 81%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Deportivo Tachira FC to win with 63% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 62.84%, 22.88% and 14.28%. The model momentum difference is 48.56 points in favour of Deportivo Tachira FC. The input data quality score is 91/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.42 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.76%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Deportivo Tachira FC 0 / Monagas SC 0 supports Deportivo Tachira FC by an average 4.12 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 5 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Under 2.5 (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Deportivo Tachira FC at home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 2.57 yellow cards, 0.43 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 85.7%, 57.1%, 28.6% and 14.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 42.9%. Season card data is available for 11 of 16 completed matches (68.8% coverage). The discipline profile for Monagas SC away from home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 1.80 yellow cards, 0.20 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 60.0%, 40.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 20.0%. Season card data is available for 8 of 9 completed matches (88.9% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Deportivo Tachira FC and Monagas SC ended 3-2. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.3 goals, while this match produced 5. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Deportivo Tachira FC at home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 2.57 yellow cards, 0.43 red cards and 3 total cards per match. In this game, Deportivo Tachira FC received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. The total was effectively equal to the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 57.1% of matches, 5+ in 14.3%, and a red card in 42.9%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Monagas SC away from home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 1.8 yellow cards, 0.2 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, Monagas SC received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 1 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 40% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 20%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Deportivo Tachira FC at 0. The stored market movement was 4.12 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-2, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Under 2.5 at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Over 2.5. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.