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| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 20.08.2026 | Benfica - Aarhus | 3 : 1 |
| Date | Match | Score | Res |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.08.2026 | Aarhus - Benfica | 1 - 3 | L |
| 23.08.2026 | Aarhus - Odense | 2 - 2 | D |
| 20.08.2026 | Benfica - Aarhus | 3 - 1 | L |
| 14.08.2026 | Viborg - Aarhus | 2 - 1 | L |
| 11.08.2026 | Sabah FA - Aarhus | 4 - 0 | L |
| Date | Match | Score | Res |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.08.2026 | Aarhus - Benfica | 1 - 3 | W |
| 20.08.2026 | Benfica - Aarhus | 3 - 1 | W |
| 17.08.2026 | Casa Pia - Benfica | 0 - 7 | W |
| 13.08.2026 | Heart Of Midlothian - Benfica | 1 - 1 | D |
| 09.08.2026 | Benfica - Academico Viseu | 2 - 2 | D |
The upcoming match between Aarhus and Benfica is scheduled for 27.08.2026 18:00 in UEFA Europa League. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.
Aarhus recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLLLWDWDLW. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. Benfica recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWDDWWWLWL. The averages are 3.30 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.
Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, Aarhus recorded 0 wins, there were 0 draws, and Benfica recorded 1 wins. The average total was 4 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.
The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 2.5 goals — 90%; Both teams to score — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 3.5 goals — 70%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.
The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Benfica to win with 63% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 15.15%, 22.17% and 62.68%. The model momentum difference is 47.53 points in favour of Benfica. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.45 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -9.11%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.
The normalized movement for the Asian pair Aarhus -0.75 / Benfica +0.75 supports Benfica by an average 1.37 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 5 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.
3 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2). Odd/Even - First Half — Even (odds 1.82). At least one goal in the match (quota 17, score 82/100, 81.79% group success rate across 2010 observations).
The discipline profile for Benfica away from home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 1.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 4 of 5 completed matches (80.0% coverage).
The match between Aarhus and Benfica ended 1-3. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.
Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.
Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Benfica away from home was based on 1 matches, with averages of 1 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1 total cards per match. In this game, Benfica received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 1 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.
The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Benfica at +0.75. The stored market movement was 1.37 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-3, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.
The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Even. The Premium signal was not confirmed. The stored Premium market was Even HT goals at odds of 1.82. The actual market outcome was Odd HT goals. The Premium signal was not confirmed. The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 17. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.
Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.