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| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 04.01.2026 | Reggina - CastrumFavara | 2 : 0 |
| 07.09.2025 | CastrumFavara - Reggina | 2 : 1 |
| 27.04.2025 | Reggina - CastrumFavara | 3 : 1 |
| 15.01.2025 | CastrumFavara - Reggina | 1 : 3 |
| Date | Match | Score | Res |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | CastrumFavara - Reggina | 2 - 2 | D |
| 18.10.2026 | Trapani 1905 - CastrumFavara | 1 - 0 | L |
| 11.10.2026 | CastrumFavara - Igea Virtus | 3 - 2 | W |
| 04.10.2026 | Vigor Lamezia - CastrumFavara | 2 - 0 | L |
| 27.09.2026 | CastrumFavara - Calcio Avola | 0 - 1 | L |
| Date | Match | Score | Res |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | CastrumFavara - Reggina | 2 - 2 | D |
| 18.10.2026 | Nissa - Reggina | 1 - 2 | W |
| 11.10.2026 | Reggina - Vibonese | 1 - 1 | D |
| 07.10.2026 | Igea Virtus - Reggina | 3 - 2 | L |
| 04.10.2026 | Trapani 1905 - Reggina | 1 - 0 | L |
The upcoming match between CastrumFavara and Reggina is scheduled for 28.10.2026 13:30 in Serie D - Girone I. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.
Standings and season form
CastrumFavara are in position 14 with 7 points after 8 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 8 scored and 10 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLLL. Reggina are in position 2 with 19 points after 8 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 18 scored and 3 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDLWW.
CastrumFavara recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLLLDLWDW. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Reggina recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDLLWWWWWD. The averages are 2 goals scored and 0.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.
Across the last 4 head-to-head matches, CastrumFavara recorded 1 wins, there were 0 draws, and Reggina recorded 3 wins. The average total was 3.25 goals per match. Both teams scored in 75% of those matches, while 75% finished with over 2.5 goals.
The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 40%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.
The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Reggina to win with 64% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 13.83%, 21.93% and 64.23%. The model momentum difference is 50.40 points in favour of Reggina. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.40 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.07%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.
The match between CastrumFavara and Reggina ended 2-2. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.
The historical profile from 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.25 goals, while this match produced 4. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 4 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 4 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.
Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.
Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.