Match context

The upcoming match between FC Basel 1893 and Barcelona is scheduled for 16.08.2026 14:30 in Friendlies Clubs. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Recent results

FC Basel 1893 recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLWDDLWLL. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Barcelona recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWDWLWLWWW. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Both teams to score — 50%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 1.5 goals — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%; Over 3.5 goals — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 10.10; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Barcelona to win with 70% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 14.35%, 15.60% and 70.06%. The model momentum difference is 55.71 points in favour of Barcelona. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.28 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.33%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair FC Basel 1893 -0.25 / Barcelona +0.25 supports Barcelona by an average 6.53 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 5 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 29, score 82/100, 82.04% group success rate across 401 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for FC Basel 1893 at home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 0.00 yellow cards, 1.00 red cards and 1.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 1 of 6 completed matches (16.7% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between FC Basel 1893 and Barcelona ended 2-5. The game produced 7 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for FC Basel 1893 at home was based on 1 matches, with averages of 0 yellow cards, 1 red cards and 1 total cards per match. In this game, FC Basel 1893 received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 1 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 100%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Barcelona at +0.25. The stored market movement was 6.53 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-5, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 29. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 3 verifiable pre-match indicators, 2 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.