Match context

The upcoming match between Fundación Lara Deportiva and Club Atletico Barinas is scheduled for 15.08.2026 20:30 in Segunda División. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Fundación Lara Deportiva are in position 3 with 36 points after 18 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 28 scored and 16 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWDWL. Club Atletico Barinas are in position 7 with 23 points after 19 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 38 scored and 42 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLWLW.

Recent results

Fundación Lara Deportiva recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWDLWLLWLD. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Club Atletico Barinas recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWLWWWLWD. The averages are 2.30 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fundación Lara Deportiva recorded 1 wins, there were 0 draws, and Club Atletico Barinas recorded 1 wins. The average total was 3 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Both teams to score — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 3.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Fundación Lara Deportiva to win with 64% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 64.21%, 21.40% and 14.38%. The model momentum difference is 49.83 points in favour of Fundación Lara Deportiva. The input data quality score is 86/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.40 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.10%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Fundación Lara Deportiva at home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 0.00 yellow cards, 2.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 3 of 17 completed matches (17.6% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Fundación Lara Deportiva and Club Atletico Barinas ended 5-1. The game produced 6 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 5 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 0 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.