Match context

The upcoming match between Lillestrøm U19 and Tromsø U19 is scheduled for 26.08.2026 14:30 in Nasjonal U19 Champions League. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Lillestrøm U19 are in position 1 with 14 points after 8 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 28 scored and 14 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWDDW. Tromsø U19 are in position 8 with 12 points after 8 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 19 scored and 16 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWLW.

Recent results

Lillestrøm U19 recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWDDWWLW. The averages are 3.40 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals. Tromsø U19 recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWDWWWLWLL. The averages are 2.30 goals scored and 2.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 8 head-to-head matches, Lillestrøm U19 recorded 6 wins, there were 1 draws, and Tromsø U19 recorded 1 wins. The average total was 4.25 goals per match. Both teams scored in 75% of those matches, while 87.5% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 2.5 goals — 90%; Both teams to score — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 3.5 goals — 80%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Lillestrøm U19 to win with 64% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 64.10%, 17.95% and 17.95%. The model momentum difference is 46.15 points in favour of Lillestrøm U19. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.40 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.26%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

What happened in the match

The match between Lillestrøm U19 and Tromsø U19 ended 4-1. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 8 head-to-head meetings averaged 4.25 goals, while this match produced 5. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 8 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 8 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 87.5%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 9 aligned with the final result and 0 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.