Match context

The upcoming match between Duhok and Ghaz Al Shamal is scheduled for 08.09.2026 15:45 in Iraqi League. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Duhok are in position 8 with 7 points. The stored form sequence is WDDDD. Ghaz Al Shamal are in position 13 with 5 points. The stored form sequence is LWDDL.

Recent results

Duhok recorded 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDDDDLLDDW. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Ghaz Al Shamal recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across the last 5 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWDDL. The averages are 0.60 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 0% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 2.5 goals — 89%; Under 3.5 goals — 89%; Over 1.5 goals — 67%; Both teams to score — 56%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 56%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Duhok or draw (1X) with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 54.13%, 27.07% and 18.80%. The model momentum difference is 35.33 points in favour of Duhok. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.16 with Betano. The stored estimated EV is -5.81%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.38, score 77/100, 77.33% bucket win rate across 75 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Ghaz Al Shamal away from home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 1.00 yellow cards, 1.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 1 of 5 completed matches (20.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Duhok and Ghaz Al Shamal ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 56%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 67%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 89%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 89%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 56%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 89%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.38. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.