Match context

The upcoming match between Club Sp. San Lorenzo and Nacional Asuncion is scheduled for 28.08.2026 21:30 in Division Profesional - Clausura. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Club Sp. San Lorenzo are in position 12 with 1 points after 3 matches. The season record is 0 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 1 scored and 5 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLLD. Nacional Asuncion are in position 6 with 6 points after 3 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 5 scored and 4 conceded. The stored form sequence is DDLWD.

Recent results

Club Sp. San Lorenzo recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLLDWDWL. The averages are 0.30 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 10% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals. Nacional Asuncion recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWDDLWDWDW. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 9 head-to-head matches, Club Sp. San Lorenzo recorded 1 wins, there were 3 draws, and Nacional Asuncion recorded 5 wins. The average total was 2.33 goals per match. Both teams scored in 44.4% of those matches, while 33.3% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Under 2.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 20%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 8.78; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 92%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as draw or Nacional Asuncion (X2) with 80% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 19.69%, 27.26% and 53.05%. The model momentum difference is 33.36 points in favour of Nacional Asuncion. The input data quality score is 90/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.17 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.04%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0 / Nacional Asuncion 0 supports Nacional Asuncion by an average 2.27 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 9 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Club Sp. San Lorenzo at home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 5 of 6 completed matches (83.3% coverage). The discipline profile for Nacional Asuncion away from home is based on 3 matches. The team averages 1.33 yellow cards, 0.33 red cards and 1.67 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 33.3%, 33.3%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 33.3%. Season card data is available for 6 of 6 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Club Sp. San Lorenzo and Nacional Asuncion ended 0-3. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 9 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.33 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 9 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 55.6%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 9 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Club Sp. San Lorenzo at home was based on 1 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, Club Sp. San Lorenzo received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Nacional Asuncion away from home was based on 3 matches, with averages of 1.33 yellow cards, 0.33 red cards and 1.67 total cards per match. In this game, Nacional Asuncion received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 0.67 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 33.3% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 33.3%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Nacional Asuncion at 0. The stored market movement was 2.27 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 0-3, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 8 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.