Match context

The upcoming match between Bentín Tacna Heroica and Santos is scheduled for 30.08.2026 20:15 in Segunda División. The listed venue is Estadio Jorge Basadre, Tacna. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Bentín Tacna Heroica are in position 1 with 25 points after 11 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 15 scored and 8 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDWWW. Santos are in position 3 with 18 points after 11 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 11 scored and 11 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLWLW.

Recent results

Bentín Tacna Heroica recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWDWWWDLWW. The averages are 1.90 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Santos recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLWLWLLLWW. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bentín Tacna Heroica recorded 1 wins, there were 0 draws, and Santos recorded 2 wins. The average total was 4 goals per match. Both teams scored in 66.7% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Bentín Tacna Heroica or draw (1X) with 83% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 58.09%, 25.33% and 16.58%. The model momentum difference is 41.51 points in favour of Bentín Tacna Heroica. The input data quality score is 91/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.10 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -8.24%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Bentín Tacna Heroica 0 / Santos 0 supports Bentín Tacna Heroica by an average 7.20 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 4 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Bentín Tacna Heroica at home is based on 3 matches. The team averages 3.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 66.7%, 66.7%, 33.3% and 33.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 5 of 11 completed matches (45.5% coverage). The discipline profile for Santos away from home is based on 3 matches. The team averages 3.67 yellow cards, 0.33 red cards and 4.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 66.7%, 66.7% and 66.7% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 33.3%. Season card data is available for 6 of 12 completed matches (50.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Bentín Tacna Heroica and Santos ended 3-1. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 4 total goals, while this match produced 4. That is an exact match with the historical scoring profile. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 100%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Bentín Tacna Heroica at home was based on 3 matches, with averages of 3 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 3 total cards per match. In this game, Bentín Tacna Heroica received 3 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 4 in total. That was 1 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 66.7% of matches, 5+ in 33.3%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Santos away from home was based on 3 matches, with averages of 3.67 yellow cards, 0.33 red cards and 4 total cards per match. In this game, Santos received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 1 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 66.7% of matches, 5+ in 66.7%, and a red card in 33.3%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Bentín Tacna Heroica at 0. The stored market movement was 7.2 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 3-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.