Match context

The upcoming match between Kashima and Newcastle Jets is scheduled for 15.09.2026 10:00 in AFC Champions League Elite. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Kashima are in position 1 with 0 points after 0 matches. The season record is 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 0 scored and 0 conceded. Newcastle Jets are in position 13 with 0 points after 0 matches. The season record is 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Recent results

Kashima recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLWWWWWWW. The averages are 2.40 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Newcastle Jets recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDDWDDLWLW. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 90% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, Kashima recorded 1 wins, there were 0 draws, and Newcastle Jets recorded 0 wins. The average total was 5 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Kashima to win with 65% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 65.31%, 17.77% and 16.92%. The model momentum difference is 48.40 points in favour of Kashima. The input data quality score is 91/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.36 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -11.17%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Kashima -0.25 / Newcastle Jets +0.25 supports Kashima by an average 2.34 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

What happened in the match

The match between Kashima and Newcastle Jets ended 7-1. The game produced 8 goals in total. The first half contained 5 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Kashima at -0.25. The stored market movement was 2.34 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 7-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 5 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 0 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.