Match context

The upcoming match between Edgeworth Eagles and Belmont Swansea is scheduled for 23.08.2026 03:00 in Northern NSW NPL. The listed venue is Lake Macquarie Regional Football Facility Field 1, Newcastle. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Edgeworth Eagles are in position 4 with 39 points after 19 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 38 scored and 29 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWDWW. Belmont Swansea are in position 5 with 35 points after 20 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 43 scored and 40 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLLL.

Recent results

Edgeworth Eagles recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWDWWWWWLL. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Belmont Swansea recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLLLWWDWL. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 4 head-to-head matches, Edgeworth Eagles recorded 2 wins, there were 1 draws, and Belmont Swansea recorded 1 wins. The average total was 4 goals per match. Both teams scored in 75% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Edgeworth Eagles or draw (1X) with 80% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 58.68%, 21.37% and 19.95%. The model momentum difference is 38.73 points in favour of Edgeworth Eagles. The input data quality score is 86/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.22 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -2.34%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Edgeworth Eagles 0 / Belmont Swansea 0 supports Edgeworth Eagles by an average 3.83 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Pinnacle, 1xBet) with up to 2 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.39). Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Belmont Swansea away from home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 0.00 yellow cards, 1.00 red cards and 1.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 2 of 22 completed matches (9.1% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Edgeworth Eagles and Belmont Swansea ended 3-2. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 4 goals, while this match produced 5. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 4 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Edgeworth Eagles at 0. The stored market movement was 3.83 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-2, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.39. The actual market outcome was BTTS Yes. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Odd. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.