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W L W D W
1
🏟
✔ Full Time
0
W W L L W
Ball possession
61%
39%
27
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
1
13
Shots off target
3
10
Corner kicks
1
3
Yellow cards
4
0
Red cards
0
3
Offsides
1
20
Shots inside the box
4
7
Shots outside the box
2
8
Blocked shots
2
1
Goalkeeper saves
5
12
Fouls
22
376
Accurate passes
235
452
Total passes
305
22
Free Kicks
12

🔁 Head-to-Head

1
0
1
🟢 Palmeiras 🟡 Draws LDU de Quito 🔴
Date Match Score
31.10.2025 Palmeiras - LDU de Quito 4 : 0
24.10.2025 LDU de Quito - Palmeiras 3 : 0

🗓 Latest Matches: Palmeiras

Date Match Score Res
09.09.2026 Palmeiras - LDU de Quito 1 - 0 W
06.09.2026 Botafogo - Palmeiras 0 - 0 D
03.09.2026 Santos - Palmeiras 0 - 0 D
30.08.2026 Mirassol - Palmeiras 1 - 1 D
27.08.2026 Palmeiras - Santos 3 - 0 W

📆 Latest Matches: LDU de Quito

Date Match Score Res
09.09.2026 Palmeiras - LDU de Quito 1 - 0 L
05.09.2026 Tecnico Universitario - LDU de Quito 1 - 3 W
02.09.2026 LDU de Quito - Mushuc Runa SC 0 - 0 D
29.08.2026 Guayaquil City FC - LDU de Quito 2 - 1 L
26.08.2026 LDU de Quito - Aucas 1 - 0 W

Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between Palmeiras and LDU de Quito is scheduled for 09.09.2026 22:00 in CONMEBOL Libertadores. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Palmeiras are in position 2 with 11 points after 6 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 10 scored and 5 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWDW. LDU de Quito are in position 1 with 12 points after 6 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 8 scored and 5 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLLW.

Recent results

Palmeiras recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDDWWWLDDL. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. LDU de Quito recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDLWWDWDLW. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 0.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 2 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras recorded 1 wins, there were 0 draws, and LDU de Quito recorded 1 wins. The average total was 3.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 0% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 1.5 goals — 50%; Both teams to score — 30%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 10.50; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Palmeiras to win with 73% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 72.80%, 19.92% and 7.28%. The model momentum difference is 65.52 points in favour of Palmeiras. The input data quality score is 99/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.30 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.36%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Palmeiras at home is based on 3 matches. The team averages 1.00 yellow cards, 0.33 red cards and 1.33 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 66.7%, 33.3%, 33.3%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 33.3%. Season card data is available for 7 of 8 completed matches (87.5% coverage). The discipline profile for LDU de Quito away from home is based on 4 matches. The team averages 2.75 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.75 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 75.0%, 75.0%, 25.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 7 of 8 completed matches (87.5% coverage).

Generated: 2026-09-09 16:30:06 · Locked: 2026-09-09 23:40:05

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between Palmeiras and LDU de Quito ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The verified final statistics recorded 11 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 10.5 total corners. The match recorded 11 corners in total. The result remained within one corner of the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 8.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 9.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Palmeiras at home was based on 3 matches, with averages of 1 yellow cards, 0.33 red cards and 1.33 total cards per match. In this game, Palmeiras received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 1.67 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 33.3% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 33.3%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for LDU de Quito away from home was based on 4 matches, with averages of 2.75 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.75 total cards per match. In this game, LDU de Quito received 4 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 4 in total. That was 1.25 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 75% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Odd. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 9 aligned with the final result and 0 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-09-10 02:22:10
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