Match context

The upcoming match between Academia Cantolao and Molinos El Pirata is scheduled for 23.08.2026 15:45 in Segunda División. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Academia Cantolao are in position 8 with 5 points after 10 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 10 scored and 19 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLLLL. Molinos El Pirata are in position 2 with 19 points after 9 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 14 scored and 12 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWWLW.

Recent results

Academia Cantolao recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDDLWLLLLL. The averages are 0.70 goals scored and 2.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Molinos El Pirata recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLWLLWWLW. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 6 head-to-head matches, Academia Cantolao recorded 4 wins, there were 1 draws, and Molinos El Pirata recorded 1 wins. The average total was 2.83 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 66.7% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Academia Cantolao -0.25 / Molinos El Pirata +0.25 supports Molinos El Pirata by an average 3.07 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Pinnacle, 1xBet) with up to 4 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

3 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Under 2.5 (odds 2). Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.55). Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.20, score 77/100, 77.34% bucket win rate across 503 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Academia Cantolao at home is based on 4 matches. The team averages 3.50 yellow cards, 0.75 red cards and 4.25 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 75.0%, 50.0% and 50.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 50.0%. Season card data is available for 6 of 11 completed matches (54.5% coverage). The discipline profile for Molinos El Pirata away from home is based on 4 matches. The team averages 2.50 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.50 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 75.0%, 50.0%, 25.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 8 of 11 completed matches (72.7% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Academia Cantolao and Molinos El Pirata ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 6 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.83 goals, while this match produced 2. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 6 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Academia Cantolao at home was based on 4 matches, with averages of 3.5 yellow cards, 0.75 red cards and 4.25 total cards per match. In this game, Academia Cantolao received 4 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 4 in total. That was 0.25 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 75% of matches, 5+ in 50%, and a red card in 50%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Molinos El Pirata away from home was based on 4 matches, with averages of 2.5 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.5 total cards per match. In this game, Molinos El Pirata received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.5 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Molinos El Pirata at +0.25. The stored market movement was 3.07 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-1, the line settled as a half win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Under 2.5 at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Under 2.5. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.55. The actual market outcome was BTTS Yes. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.2. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 11 verifiable pre-match indicators, 8 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.