Match context

The upcoming match between Palmeiras W and Bahia W is scheduled for 05.09.2026 00:30 in Brasileiro Women. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Palmeiras W are in position 3 with 35 points after 14 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 29 scored and 11 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDWDW. Bahia W are in position 5 with 28 points after 14 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 18 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWLWD.

Recent results

Palmeiras W recorded 5 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDWDWDWWWD. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 0.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Bahia W recorded 3 wins, 6 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDDWLWDWDD. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras W recorded 3 wins, there were 2 draws, and Bahia W recorded 0 wins. The average total was 2 goals per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%; Under 2.5 goals — 50%; Both teams to score — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Palmeiras W to win with 69% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 69.50%, 17.79% and 12.71%. The model momentum difference is 56.79 points in favour of Palmeiras W. The input data quality score is 88/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.28 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -11.04%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

What happened in the match

The match between Palmeiras W and Bahia W ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 2 total goals, while this match produced 2. That is an exact match with the historical scoring profile. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.