Match context

The upcoming match between Honka and HJS Akatemia is scheduled for 06.09.2026 12:00 in Kakkonen - Lohko B. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Honka are in position 1 with 43 points after 15 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 44 scored and 15 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWLW. HJS Akatemia are in position 4 with 31 points after 15 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 27 scored and 20 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLWWW.

Recent results

Honka recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDWWWLWDDW. The averages are 2.80 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. HJS Akatemia recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLWWWWDL. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 2.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 6 head-to-head matches, Honka recorded 4 wins, there were 2 draws, and HJS Akatemia recorded 0 wins. The average total was 2.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 33.3% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%; Over 3.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Honka to win with 76% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 76.49%, 12.89% and 10.62%. The model momentum difference is 65.87 points in favour of Honka. The input data quality score is 94/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.18 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -9.74%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 29, score 83/100, 82.91% group success rate across 468 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Honka at home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 2.14 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.14 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 57.1%, 42.9%, 14.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 13 of 20 completed matches (65.0% coverage). The discipline profile for HJS Akatemia away from home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 1.86 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.86 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 57.1%, 28.6%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 12 of 19 completed matches (63.2% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Honka and HJS Akatemia ended 5-1. The game produced 6 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 6 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.5 goals, while this match produced 6. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 6 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Honka at home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 2.14 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.14 total cards per match. In this game, Honka received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.14 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 42.9% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for HJS Akatemia away from home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 1.86 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.86 total cards per match. In this game, HJS Akatemia received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 1.14 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 28.6% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 29. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.