Match context

The upcoming match between NJS and GrIFK is scheduled for 12.09.2026 12:00 in Kakkonen - Lohko B. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
NJS are in position 10 with 1 points after 15 matches. The season record is 0 wins, 1 draws and 14 losses. The goals record is 9 scored and 41 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLLLL. GrIFK are in position 7 with 24 points after 15 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 19 scored and 27 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWWLW.

Recent results

NJS recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 9 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLLLLLLLL. The averages are 0.80 goals scored and 2.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. GrIFK recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWWLWLLLLW. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 5 head-to-head matches, NJS recorded 0 wins, there were 3 draws, and GrIFK recorded 2 wins. The average total was 2.60 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as GrIFK to win with 62% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 18.87%, 18.87% and 62.25%. The model momentum difference is 43.38 points in favour of GrIFK. The input data quality score is 85/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.44 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.35%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 26, score 85/100, 85.31% group success rate across 490 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for NJS at home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 2.50 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.50 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 83.3%, 50.0%, 16.7% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 11 of 18 completed matches (61.1% coverage). The discipline profile for GrIFK away from home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.88 yellow cards, 0.38 red cards and 3.25 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 62.5%, 37.5% and 12.5% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 25.0%. Season card data is available for 15 of 18 completed matches (83.3% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between NJS and GrIFK ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.6 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for NJS at home was based on 6 matches, with averages of 2.5 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.5 total cards per match. In this game, NJS received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.5 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for GrIFK away from home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 2.88 yellow cards, 0.38 red cards and 3.25 total cards per match. In this game, GrIFK received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 1.25 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 62.5% of matches, 5+ in 12.5%, and a red card in 25%.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 26. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 8 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.