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🔁 Head-to-Head

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🟢 Nestos Chrisoupolis 🟡 Draws AEK Athens FC 🔴
Date Match Score

🗓 Latest Matches: Nestos Chrisoupolis

Date Match Score Res
19.08.2026 Nestos Chrisoupolis - Apollon Pontou 1 - 0 W
26.04.2026 Kavala - Nestos Chrisoupolis 2 - 2 D
22.04.2026 Nestos Chrisoupolis - PAS Giannina 1 - 0 W
18.04.2026 PAOK II - Nestos Chrisoupolis 1 - 1 D
08.04.2026 Makedonikos Neapolis - Nestos Chrisoupolis 0 - 2 W

📆 Latest Matches: AEK Athens FC

Date Match Score Res
30.08.2026 Kifisia - AEK Athens FC 1 - 1 D
26.08.2026 AEK Athens FC - Levski Sofia 4 - 0 W
22.08.2026 AEK Athens FC - Iraklis 1908 4 - 0 W
18.08.2026 Levski Sofia - AEK Athens FC 0 - 0 D
12.08.2026 AEK Athens FC - OFI 2 - 2 D

Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between Nestos Chrisoupolis and AEK Athens FC is scheduled for 02.09.2026 14:00 in Cup. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Recent results

Nestos Chrisoupolis recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDWDWWWDWW. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 0.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. AEK Athens FC recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWWDDWWLWW. The averages are 2.40 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%; Under 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as AEK Athens FC to win with 83% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 5.50%, 11.00% and 83.50%. The model momentum difference is 78.00 points in favour of AEK Athens FC. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.12 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.48%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Combo (BTTS Yes + Over 2.5) — Yes (odds 3.25, score 74/100, 73.53% bucket win rate across 34 observations). At least one goal in the match (quota 15, score 80/100, 80.23% group success rate across 2904 observations).

Generated: 2026-09-01 18:00:04 · Locked: 2026-09-02 15:40:06

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between Nestos Chrisoupolis and AEK Athens FC ended 0-2. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes + Over 2.5 at odds of 3.25. The actual market outcome was BTTS No + Under 2.5. The Premium signal was not confirmed. The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 15. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-09-02 17:55:05
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