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🔁 Head-to-Head

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🟢 Merelbeke 🟡 Draws AS Eupen 🔴
Date Match Score

🗓 Latest Matches: Merelbeke

Date Match Score Res
18.10.2026 Knokke - Merelbeke 0 - 3 W
11.10.2026 Merelbeke - Mandel United 0 - 2 L
04.10.2026 Tienen - Merelbeke 0 - 0 D
30.09.2026 Merelbeke - Dessel Sport 1 - 1 D
27.09.2026 Merelbeke - AS Eupen 0 - 1 L

📆 Latest Matches: AS Eupen

Date Match Score Res
18.10.2026 KV Mechelen - AS Eupen 5 - 1 L
09.10.2026 RSC Anderlecht II - AS Eupen 0 - 2 W
01.10.2026 AS Eupen - Alemannia Aachen 3 - 1 W
27.09.2026 Merelbeke - AS Eupen 0 - 1 W
19.09.2026 AS Eupen - Liège 3 - 1 W

Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between Merelbeke and AS Eupen is scheduled for 27.09.2026 14:00 in Cup. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Recent results

Merelbeke recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWWLLLLWW. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. AS Eupen recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWLWLWWWW. The averages are 3.40 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as AS Eupen to win with 66% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 14.98%, 18.92% and 66.09%. The model momentum difference is 51.11 points in favour of AS Eupen. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.36 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.11%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 21, score 84/100, 84.31% group success rate across 1294 observations).

Generated: 2026-09-27 15:02:53 · Locked: 2026-09-27 15:40:16

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between Merelbeke and AS Eupen ended 0-1. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 21. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-09-27 17:55:07
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