Match context

The upcoming match between Atletico Torque and Cerro Largo is scheduled for 04.09.2026 22:00 in Primera División. The listed venue is Estadio Centenario, Montevideo. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Atletico Torque are in position 8 with 3 points after 22 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 33 scored and 27 conceded. The stored form sequence is W. Cerro Largo are in position 10 with 2 points after 22 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 23 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is DD.

Recent results

Atletico Torque recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLWWWWLWW. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 0.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Cerro Largo recorded 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLDDDLWDDW. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Atletico Torque recorded 5 wins, there were 3 draws, and Cerro Largo recorded 2 wins. The average total was 2.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 8.90; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 94%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Atletico Torque to win with 62% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 62.08%, 24.16% and 13.75%. The model momentum difference is 48.33 points in favour of Atletico Torque. The input data quality score is 92/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.44 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.60%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Atletico Torque 0 / Cerro Largo 0 supports Atletico Torque by an average 3.65 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 27 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Atletico Torque at home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 2.60 yellow cards, 0.20 red cards and 2.80 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 40.0%, 40.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 20.0%. Season card data is available for 11 of 21 completed matches (52.4% coverage). The discipline profile for Cerro Largo away from home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 3.00 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 3.17 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 83.3%, 66.7%, 33.3% and 16.7% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 16.7%. Season card data is available for 13 of 22 completed matches (59.1% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Atletico Torque and Cerro Largo ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.5 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Atletico Torque at home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 2.6 yellow cards, 0.2 red cards and 2.8 total cards per match. In this game, Atletico Torque received 4 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 4 in total. That was 1.2 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 40% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 20%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Cerro Largo away from home was based on 6 matches, with averages of 3 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 3.17 total cards per match. In this game, Cerro Largo received 4 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 5 in total. That was 1.83 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 66.7% of matches, 5+ in 16.7%, and a red card in 16.7%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Atletico Torque at 0. The stored market movement was 3.65 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 8 aligned with the final result and 0 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.