Match context

The upcoming match between Danubio and Penarol is scheduled for 05.09.2026 18:00 in Primera División. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Danubio are in position 12 with 1 points after 22 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 10 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 22 scored and 30 conceded. The stored form sequence is DL. Penarol are in position 7 with 3 points after 23 matches. The season record is 14 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 40 scored and 20 conceded. The stored form sequence is W.

Recent results

Danubio recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWDDLDLDD. The averages are 0.60 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals. Penarol recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLWDWWWWDW. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 0.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Danubio recorded 2 wins, there were 2 draws, and Penarol recorded 6 wins. The average total was 1.70 goals per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 10% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 40%; Over 1.5 goals — 40%; Over 2.5 goals — 40%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 8; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 94%; over 9.5 corners — 84%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Danubio -0.5 / Penarol +0.5 supports Danubio by an average 2.01 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365) with up to 17 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Danubio at home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 2.80 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.80 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 40.0%, 20.0% and 20.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 11 of 23 completed matches (47.8% coverage). The discipline profile for Penarol away from home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 3.40 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 3.40 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 100.0%, 40.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 12 of 14 completed matches (85.7% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Danubio and Penarol ended 0-4. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.7 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 90%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Danubio at -0.5. The stored market movement was 2.01 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 0-4, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 6 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.