Match context

The upcoming match between Cerro and Racing Montevideo is scheduled for 06.09.2026 13:00 in Primera División. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Cerro are in position 2 with 6 points after 22 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 4 draws and 13 losses. The goals record is 14 scored and 34 conceded. The stored form sequence is WW. Racing Montevideo are in position 3 with 4 points after 22 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 8 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 27 scored and 17 conceded. The stored form sequence is WD.

Recent results

Cerro recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDLWWLWWLL. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Racing Montevideo recorded 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWDWDWLDDD. The averages are 1 goals scored and 0.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cerro recorded 4 wins, there were 2 draws, and Racing Montevideo recorded 4 wins. The average total was 1.80 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 40%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 12.70; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Cerro 0 / Racing Montevideo 0 supports Racing Montevideo by an average 3.79 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 12 stored observations. The current confirmed reversal event points in the same direction. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Cerro at home is based on 4 matches. The team averages 3.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 75.0%, 25.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 12 of 22 completed matches (54.5% coverage). The discipline profile for Racing Montevideo away from home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 2.86 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.86 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 71.4%, 14.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 12 of 24 completed matches (50.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Cerro and Racing Montevideo ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.8 goals, while this match produced 1. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Cerro at home was based on 4 matches, with averages of 3 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 3 total cards per match. In this game, Cerro received 2 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 3 in total. The total was effectively equal to the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 75% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Racing Montevideo away from home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 2.86 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.86 total cards per match. In this game, Racing Montevideo received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.86 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 71.4% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Racing Montevideo at 0. The stored market movement was 3.79 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-0, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Odd. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 8 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.