Match context

The upcoming match between Bolívar and Atletico Avila FC is scheduled for 30.08.2026 19:00 in Segunda División. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Bolívar are in position 4 with 24 points after 16 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 15 scored and 17 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLLWD. Atletico Avila FC are in position 7 with 13 points after 15 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 9 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 8 scored and 14 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLDDL.

Recent results

Bolívar recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWWLLDWDL. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Atletico Avila FC recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLDLLDDLD. The averages are 0.30 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bolívar recorded 0 wins, there were 2 draws, and Atletico Avila FC recorded 0 wins. The average total was 2 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 1.5 goals — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%; Under 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Bolívar or draw (1X) with 84% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 59.19%, 24.66% and 16.14%. The model momentum difference is 43.05 points in favour of Bolívar. The input data quality score is 87/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.10 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -7.76%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Bolívar at home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 0.00 yellow cards, 1.00 red cards and 1.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 1 of 16 completed matches (6.3% coverage). The discipline profile for Atletico Avila FC away from home is based on 2 matches. The team averages 0.00 yellow cards, 1.00 red cards and 1.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 2 of 18 completed matches (11.1% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Bolívar and Atletico Avila FC ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 3 verifiable pre-match indicators, 2 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.