Match context

The upcoming match between Fundación Lara Deportiva and Puerto Cabello II is scheduled for 12.09.2026 20:30 in Segunda División. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Fundación Lara Deportiva are in position 2 with 43 points after 18 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 28 scored and 16 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLDLW. Puerto Cabello II are in position 6 with 29 points after 19 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 27 scored and 26 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLDD.

Recent results

Fundación Lara Deportiva recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLDLLWWDW. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Puerto Cabello II recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLDDWLDLW. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 7 head-to-head matches, Fundación Lara Deportiva recorded 4 wins, there were 2 draws, and Puerto Cabello II recorded 1 wins. The average total was 2.71 goals per match. Both teams scored in 71.4% of those matches, while 85.7% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Fundación Lara Deportiva or draw (1X) with 82% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 58.23%, 24.07% and 17.70%. The model momentum difference is 40.53 points in favour of Fundación Lara Deportiva. The input data quality score is 71/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.14 with Betano. The stored estimated EV is -6.18%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Fundación Lara Deportiva at home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 0.00 yellow cards, 2.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 4 of 22 completed matches (18.2% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Fundación Lara Deportiva and Puerto Cabello II ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 7 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.71 goals, while this match produced 2. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 7 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 71.4%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 7 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 85.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.