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🔁 Head-to-Head

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🟢 Sundby 🟡 Draws FC Midtjylland 🔴
Date Match Score

🗓 Latest Matches: Sundby

Date Match Score Res
05.09.2026 Sundby - ASA Aarhus 1 - 0 W
29.08.2026 Ringsted - Sundby 2 - 0 L
25.08.2026 Frederikssund - Sundby 2 - 3 W
22.08.2026 Sundby - Hørsholm-Usserød 4 - 4 D
15.08.2026 Holbæk B&I - Sundby 2 - 1 L

📆 Latest Matches: FC Midtjylland

Date Match Score Res
07.09.2026 FC Midtjylland - FC Nordsjaelland 2 - 2 D
02.09.2026 Aarhus - FC Midtjylland 0 - 2 W
30.08.2026 Silkeborg - FC Midtjylland 1 - 1 D
27.08.2026 HNK Rijeka - FC Midtjylland 1 - 4 W
23.08.2026 FC Midtjylland - Randers FC 1 - 0 W

Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between Sundby and FC Midtjylland is scheduled for 10.09.2026 16:00 in DBU Pokalen. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Recent results

Sundby recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWDLLWLLL. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 2.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. FC Midtjylland recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWDWWWDWWW. The averages are 2 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as FC Midtjylland to win with 89% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 2.30%, 8.59% and 89.11%. The model momentum difference is 86.81 points in favour of FC Midtjylland. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.06 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.54%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Combo (BTTS Yes + Over 2.5) — Yes (odds 3.25, score 74/100, 73.53% bucket win rate across 34 observations). At least one goal in the match (quota 19, score 82/100, 81.65% group success rate across 1548 observations).

Generated: 2026-09-09 20:02:33 · Locked: 2026-09-10 17:40:12

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between Sundby and FC Midtjylland ended 0-7. The game produced 7 goals in total. The first half contained 5 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes + Over 2.5 at odds of 3.25. The actual market outcome was BTTS No + Over 2.5. The Premium signal was not confirmed. The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 19. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-09-10 19:50:10
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