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| Date | Match | Score |
|---|
| Date | Match | Score | Res |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.08.2026 | Génesis - CD Marathon | 1 - 2 | W |
| 27.08.2026 | CD Marathon - Real Estelí | 3 - 0 | W |
| 23.08.2026 | CD Marathon - Real Espana | 1 - 1 | D |
| 20.08.2026 | CD Marathon - Alianza | 0 - 1 | L |
| 16.08.2026 | Atlético Choloma - CD Marathon | 0 - 1 | W |
| Date | Match | Score | Res |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30.08.2026 | Estrella Roja - CD Olimpia | 2 - 2 | D |
| 22.08.2026 | Estrella Roja - Juticalpa | 5 - 2 | W |
| 15.08.2026 | Lobos Upnfm - Estrella Roja | 2 - 2 | D |
| 09.08.2026 | CD Motagua - Estrella Roja | 0 - 2 | W |
| 02.08.2026 | Estrella Roja - Olancho | 0 - 1 | L |
The upcoming match between CD Marathon and Estrella Roja is scheduled for 06.09.2026 01:30 in Liga Nacional. The listed venue is Estadio Yankel Rosenthal, San Pedro Sula. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.
Standings and season form
CD Marathon are in position 3 with 4 points after 1 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 1 scored and 0 conceded. The stored form sequence is DW. Estrella Roja are in position 6 with 3 points after 1 matches. The season record is 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 0 scored and 1 conceded. The stored form sequence is WL.
CD Marathon recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWDLWWDWDD. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 0.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. Estrella Roja recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses across the last 5 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWDWL. The averages are 2.20 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.
The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.
The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as CD Marathon or draw (1X) with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 56.60%, 24.69% and 18.71%. The model momentum difference is 37.90 points in favour of CD Marathon. The input data quality score is 78/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.12 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -8.95%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.
The normalized movement for the Asian pair CD Marathon 0 / Estrella Roja 0 supports CD Marathon by an average 1.12 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Pinnacle, 1xBet) with up to 2 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.
1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2).
The discipline profile for CD Marathon at home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 1.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 4 of 5 completed matches (80.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Estrella Roja away from home is based on 2 matches. The team averages 1.50 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.50 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 50.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 4 of 5 completed matches (80.0% coverage).
The match between CD Marathon and Estrella Roja ended 5-0. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.
Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.
The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported CD Marathon at 0. The stored market movement was 1.12 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 5-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.
The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Odd. The Premium signal was confirmed.
Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.