Match context

The upcoming match between Panionios and Apollon Pontou is scheduled for 14.09.2026 13:00 in Super League 2. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Panionios are in position 3 with 3 points after 1 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 2 scored and 0 conceded. The stored form sequence is W. Apollon Pontou are in position 5 with 1 points after 1 matches. The season record is 0 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 2 scored and 2 conceded. The stored form sequence is D.

Recent results

Panionios recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDWWLLLDWW. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 0.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Apollon Pontou recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLWDWLWWLW. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 2 head-to-head matches, Panionios recorded 1 wins, there were 1 draws, and Apollon Pontou recorded 0 wins. The average total was 2 goals per match. Both teams scored in 0% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Panionios to win with 73% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 72.87%, 18.65% and 8.48%. The model momentum difference is 64.39 points in favour of Panionios. The input data quality score is 99/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.28 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.73%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Combo (BTTS Yes + Over 2.5) — Yes (odds 2.65, score 83/100, 83.33% bucket win rate across 6 observations).

What happened in the match

The match between Panionios and Apollon Pontou ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes + Over 2.5 at odds of 2.65. The actual market outcome was BTTS No + Under 2.5. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.