Match context

The upcoming match between Defensor Sporting and Deportivo Maldonado is scheduled for 13.09.2026 19:00 in Primera División. The listed venue is Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Defensor Sporting are in position 15 with 2 points after 5 matches. The season record is 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 3 scored and 10 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLDLL. Deportivo Maldonado are in position 6 with 8 points after 5 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 6 scored and 4 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLDWD.

Recent results

Defensor Sporting recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDLDDLLWLD. The averages are 0.80 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Deportivo Maldonado recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWLDWDDLD. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 0.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting recorded 3 wins, there were 3 draws, and Deportivo Maldonado recorded 4 wins. The average total was 2.40 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Under 2.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 9.50; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Defensor Sporting -1 / Deportivo Maldonado +1 supports Defensor Sporting by an average 1.66 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 7 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Defensor Sporting at home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 3.11 yellow cards, 0.22 red cards and 3.33 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 77.8%, 77.8%, 55.6% and 22.2% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 22.2%. Season card data is available for 14 of 27 completed matches (51.9% coverage). The discipline profile for Deportivo Maldonado away from home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 2.50 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 2.67 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 83.3%, 66.7%, 16.7% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 16.7%. Season card data is available for 15 of 27 completed matches (55.6% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Defensor Sporting and Deportivo Maldonado ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.4 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Defensor Sporting at home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 3.11 yellow cards, 0.22 red cards and 3.33 total cards per match. In this game, Defensor Sporting received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 2.33 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 77.8% of matches, 5+ in 22.2%, and a red card in 22.2%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Deportivo Maldonado away from home was based on 6 matches, with averages of 2.5 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 2.67 total cards per match. In this game, Deportivo Maldonado received 4 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 4 in total. That was 1.33 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 66.7% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 16.7%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Defensor Sporting at -1. The stored market movement was 1.66 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-0, the line settled as a push. The result is neutral and is counted as neither confirmed nor unconfirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed, while 1 settled neutrally. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.