Match context

The upcoming match between APIA Leichhardt Tigers and NWS Spirit is scheduled for 06.09.2026 06:00 in New South Wales NPL. The listed venue is Lambert Park, Sydney. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
APIA Leichhardt Tigers are in position 1 with 65 points after 26 matches. The season record is 19 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 59 scored and 32 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWDWW. NWS Spirit are in position 7 with 40 points after 26 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 4 draws and 13 losses. The goals record is 28 scored and 36 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWLL.

Recent results

APIA Leichhardt Tigers recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDLWDDWWWW. The averages are 2.20 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. NWS Spirit recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDWWWLLLWD. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 8 head-to-head matches, APIA Leichhardt Tigers recorded 5 wins, there were 0 draws, and NWS Spirit recorded 3 wins. The average total was 2.88 goals per match. Both teams scored in 37.5% of those matches, while 62.5% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Both teams to score — 60%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 3.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as APIA Leichhardt Tigers or draw (1X) with 82% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 59.70%, 22.39% and 17.91%. The model momentum difference is 41.79 points in favour of APIA Leichhardt Tigers. The input data quality score is 82/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.11 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -8.88%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for NWS Spirit away from home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 0.00 yellow cards, 1.00 red cards and 1.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 1 of 31 completed matches (3.2% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between APIA Leichhardt Tigers and NWS Spirit ended 3-0. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 8 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.88 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 8 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 62.5%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 8 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 62.5%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.